Election Update

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Latina State Senator Jenny Oropeza and African American Assemblywoman Laura Richardson and Valerie McDonald, daughter of the late Juanita Millender McDonald square off Tuesday in the special election to replace the Congresswoman. If anyone receives 50% of the vote, she wins the seat outright, otherwise, the top vote getter in each parties primary vies for the seat in July. The latest fundraising numbers show a tight money chase between Oropeza and Richardson with Valerie McDonald bringing up the rear. In the endorsement game, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has not weighed in as expected but the California Democratic Party has, endorsing Oropeza. Moreover, the bulk of organized labor has endorsed Richardson.

Serious competition in the form of Long Beach Councilwoman Gerrie Schipske was averted when she abruptly pulled out of the race after her constituents implored her to stay on the Council. That leaves the white vote largely up for grabs and it leans heavily toward Oropeza. Latino voters are united in support of Oropeza while African American voters, who vote in larger numbers than Latinos, are split between McDonald and Richardson, with the lion’s share going to Richardson because of her broader political support despite substantial Congressional Black Caucus support for McDonald’s candidacy.

The California Legislative Black Caucus is united behind Richardson and the political leadership of heavily African American enclaves in the district: Compton and Carson are almost all united for Richardson. Other African American candidates in this race are just vanity candidates and unlikely to garner significant support. If the Congressional Black Caucus retains this seat, it will be in spite of their divided efforts, not because it did anything to support the winner.

In other news, Florida Congressman Alcee Hastings has drawn a challenger in the form of Belle Glades, Florida City Commissioner Ray Torres Sanchez. Sanchez, a funeral director, will challenge Hastings in the Democratic primary where he presumably will be crushed.

Two Maryland races are heating up significantly. The race for Maryland’s 4th Congressional district between Corporate Shill Al Wynn and Donna Edwards is moving along swimingly with both sides trading pointed barbs and rhetoric. Al Wynn is now an unabashed war critic after having voted against war funding for the first time this month. His about face is striking given the cozy corporate collusion and whoring he had no problem with before he was almost defeated by Donna last September.

Lastly, the first television ad was run in the race for Baltimore Mayor as Incumbent Mayor Sheila Dixon announced the kick-off of her campaign for Mayor and her push to take Baltimore to the next level. With a campaign account upwards of $ 1 million and the most professional city administration in history, she is the odds on favorite in this contest for a full four year term as Mayor. Accomplished and detail oriented, Mrs. Dixon has made her presence felt in Baltimore and is coming to grips with its intractable budgetary and crime problems.

 

 

48 thoughts on “Election Update

  1. dblhelix

    That leaves the white vote largely up for grabs and it leans heavily toward Oropeza

    Where does this come from? According to the article, the respective campaign polls:

    Both polls showed Oropeza leading among Latinos and Richardson leading among black voters, though each campaign claimed they were winning the majority of white voters.

    Both surveys also showed large numbers of undecided voters.

    MD-04: Wynn/Edwards will be very surprised to find out that Takoma Park is in their district.

  2. dblhelix

    It just dawned on me why the lazy BaltSun decided Takoma Park is in the district. It’s because Wynn received an early endorsement from Heather Mizeur, a state rep from TP, but her lege district overlaps with Wynn’s in Silver Spring.

    Wynn is receiving a whole lot of establishment supprt from MoCo, which was Edwards’ strong area last year.

  3. dblhelix,

    It is my private prognostication about the white vote. Last week during a debate Laura stepped in it by talking about nobody being able to “take away our seat.” It wasn’t received well.

  4. dblhelix

    It wasn’t received well.

    I heard about that too. Supposedly, Oropeza said to her “your mother would be ashamed,” and they got into it. Richardson’s mother is white — I’ve been wondering if that helps her with the white vote.

  5. Allow me my $0.02, please.

    The potential loss of Millender-McDonald’s seat to a Latina, basically is an indication that the CBC was so busy laying down with Faux Noise, they didn’t lean on Jim Clyburn as the #3 man in the Democratic Caucus leadership to marshall resources behind either Richardson or McDonald’s daughter. So, I’m laying blame with the CBC on this one.

    Wynn is lining up his support, but again, if Donna Edwards clocks him in the debate like she did last year, screw how much support Wynn has. He’s going to resort to tactics to steal another election from Edwards again; cause that’s the only way he’ll win. And yeah, Donna knows Takoma Park is in the district – the question is, “Does Al Wynn know that TP is in his district”?

    I’ve been thinking all along that the Congressional Black Caucus would do better if the numbers were reduced. While I don’t like speaking ill of the dead, let me remind all of you that Millender-McDonald was corporate DLC – and while she tended to vote legit (www.cbcmonitor.voxunion.com/reportcards), she managed to hide her DLC ties pretty good until they started to have negative impacts on her legislative beliefs. Overall, all of the sistas in Cali represent well (Barbara Lee was my congressional rep from 1998 until I moved to DC), and I’d hate to have Cali lose a sister in the Cali Caucus, but once the State Democratic Chair (who’s Latino) threw his support behind Oropeza, that pretty much put the kibbosh on Milllender’McDonald’s seat, unlee Richardson can capitalize on the White vote.

    Baltimore probably needs a sista to run things, so it can’t hurt if girlfriend wins that seat.

    I’m more focused on wearing out shoe leather for Donna Edwards – Wynn’s absence from the CBC and Congress overall would be a great improvement PG. and MoCo.

  6. dblhelix

    TPJ: And yeah, Donna knows Takoma Park is in the district – the question is, “Does Al Wynn know that TP is in his district”?

    Takoma Park is in MD-08 and represented by Van Hollen.

    Wynn’s district became more conservative because of the redistricting to ensure that Van Hollen would win against Morella in 2002. Langley Park, Chillum etc in PG are now part of MD-08, lumped in with Chevy Chase, Bethesda.

  7. NMP

    “It is my private prognostication about the white vote.”

    SB,

    It’s not just your private prognostication. It’s also based on current trends. I can NOT emphasize enough that Latinos are making tremendous inroads in winning state-wide elections even in states that have traditionally been hostile to African Americans statewide candidates, e.g. New Jersey. There seems to be a comfort level that Whites, even ethnic Whites, have with Latinos that they don’t have with African Americans. I don’t know if it’s because of shared European ancestry (albeit tenuous) or simply because White folks are just tired of us, but the writing is on the wall. We need to come up with a Plan-B—and fast. As I’ve said before, the political prism is no longer White and Black, but White, Brown and Back and in that order. LaRaza is coordinating state and national while the NAACP remains apolitical, the CBC is doing whatever the hell they do, and Black pols are struggling to retain seats in eventual Latino states. It doesn’t bode well for our political future!

  8. Heber Brown, III

    “With a campaign account upwards of $ 1 million and the most professional city administration in history, she is the odds on favorite in this contest for a full four year term as Mayor.

    Come on now Brotha. The most professional city administration in history? I’d be interested to hear how you can justify that statement. (with facts preferably)

  9. It’s not just your private prognostication. It’s also based on current trends. I can NOT emphasize enough that Latinos are making tremendous inroads in winning state-wide elections even in states that have traditionally been hostile to African Americans statewide candidates, e.g. New Jersey. There seems to be a comfort level that Whites, even ethnic Whites, have with Latinos that they don’t have with African Americans. I don’t know if it’s because of shared European ancestry (albeit tenuous) or simply because White folks are just tired of us, but the writing is on the wall. We need to come up with a Plan-B—and fast. As I’ve said before, the political prism is no longer White and Black, but White, Brown and Back and in that order. LaRaza is coordinating state and national while the NAACP remains apolitical, the CBC is doing whatever the hell they do, and Black pols are struggling to retain seats in eventual Latino states. It doesn’t bode well for our political future!

    I feel you and believe everything you say is true. We’re so busy trying to be ‘ coalition’ folks, that we won’t get down to business and protect our own.

    Mark me, and mark me well….those ‘coalition’ folks will ‘ coalition’ themselves right out of office.

  10. I was thinking about setting up a ‘ Black Bloggers for Edwards’ account at ActBlue.

    I was wondering if folks thought that was a positive. There is already a ‘Mainstream’ Progressive group for Edwards. Should I donate with them instead?

  11. NMP

    “I feel you and believe everything you say is true. We’re so busy trying to be ‘ coalition’ folks, that we won’t get down to business and protect our own.”

    Why do you think that is? I have my own theories, but I’m curious about other folks thoughts on this.

  12. NMP

    dblhelix,

    Goodness, I’ve been meaning to ask you this for some time. Do campaign finance laws in Maryland allow candidates to send money to potential voters? I only learned last year that Jack Johnson sends checks to senior citizens during election season. Is this legal?

  13. “I feel you and believe everything you say is true. We’re so busy trying to be ‘ coalition’ folks, that we won’t get down to business and protect our own.”

    Why do you think that is? I have my own theories, but I’m curious about other folks thoughts on this.

    I think it’s because some are just delusional. That being ‘Black Nationalist’ is seen by some as a ‘bad thing’, when all I see is that, it’s obvious that the only folks who can change our situation for the better is US.

    U-S

    US

    We don’t have to pick up guns, and put on Black Berets anymore to be Black Nationalists.

    We just have to use our skills, whatever they are, for the betterment of the community.

    Internal reparations, folks.

    Until folks are willing to wake up to that, then we’ll be spinning the wheels.

  14. Are you serious? He actually PAID the voters? And, it was out in the open and not under the table?

    Now, I think I’ve heard of everything.

  15. dblhelix

    NMP: Jack Johnson sends checks to senior citizens during election season. Is this legal?

    I will take my best guess on how this came to be. Part of the National Harbor deal is kickbacks of $2mill to county “community groups.” Until recently, the money was distributed without any vetting of applicant “groups.”

    The Post reported last month that more than $181,000 was given to organizations with ties to committee members or to Johnson. Additionally, during his reelection campaign last summer, Johnson personally delivered at least $10,000 in grants to politically influential churches that had not applied for the funds.

  16. dblhelix

    rikyrah:

    I would go independent w/ a Black Bloggers group. It takes 5 min to set up an ActBlue page. Or, you could just set up a portal under the auspices of Black Bloggers to contribute directly to DE’s site. Excessive “whiteosphere” interest in the race will only help Wynn in the long run if the race turns out to be close.

  17. dblhelix

    Here’s an interesting little story.

    Recently, there was a PG Central Committee meeting to vote in the new state party chair. Donna Edwards was present but kicked out — told she wasn’t welcome. Doing the dirty work: An IBEW (electrical union) rep from the local that manages the building.

  18. NMP

    “Are you serious? He actually PAID the voters? And, it was out in the open and not under the table? ”

    Yeah, it comes every election cycle with a note simply saying a gift from Jack Johnson.

  19. dblhelix

    a gift from Jack Johnson.

    One thing about living in PG … I always feel like everyone is getting paid, except me.

    But to be fair, the county exec is limited to two terms, so the gifting only happened once, NMP🙂

    My understanding is that come 2010, we should expect our checks from one of: Michael Jackson (currently the sheriff), Glen Ivey (currently PG state’s attorney) or from perennial candidate Rushern Baker.

  20. NMP

    “But to be fair, the county exec is limited to two terms, so the gifting only happened once, NMP ”

    He must have issued checks for his first election run or perhaps contributing (paying for) other candidates he supports? I’m only relaying what was told to me. My aunt is getting up in age, but she loves money too much not to remember how much free money she received.🙂

  21. NMP

    “Via Courtland Milloy:

    In City Brimming With Black Talent, Fenty’s Cabinet Lacks Color”

    We can ALWAYS count on Courtland! Matter of fact, it was one of his columns that led me to this site. Unfortunately, as the WaPo has become more of a neo-con and pro-gentrification newspaper, his column doesn’t get the prominence it used to, but he will be heard one way or another!

  22. NMP

    OT

    I’m not going to labor much more on Fenty, but I can’t help but wonder whether more Black folks would be up in arms if he were a White mayor (and still a majority Black City) making these appointments? This brings to mind Howard Dean. Despite being the most progressive candidate in the 2004, one of the reasons he didn’t get much traction with the Black Community is that Al Sharpton successfully labeled him “out of touch” with Black folks because he didn’t have any minorities in his administration in Vermont. The fact is Vermont is one of the whitest states in the country. Sure, he could have hired out of state, but the fact still remains that he didn’t have a readily available pool of minority candidates. Fenty, to the CONTRARY, certainly doesn’t have that excuse. The DC region has the LARGEST concentration of professional African Americans in the country. As I said before, if his recent appointments were exceedingly qualified (than available Black talent), it wouldn’t be as much ground for complaint. Furthermore and more, he was elected in part or perhaps primarily because of fears of gentrification from residents east of the Anacostia, so why is he practicing political gentrification? What message is he sending to young Black professionals and for that matter corporate America? Hell, if Black folks aren’t even willing to hire Black folks what chance to do they have in larger America?

  23. NMP

    Last point, I promise! I got my answer as to what message it sends. This appears to be the consensus on the message board on WaPo in response to Courtland’s column…

    “wleffi wrote:
    Black leadership has turned DC into a dysfunctional, corrupt, barely functioning city over the past 30 years. If non-blacks can make the city livable again, so be it. ”

    Livable again? I guess us savages just made a jungle out of the City and thanks to Black Tarzan it’s now fit for White habitation again.

  24. The DC region has the LARGEST concentration of professional African Americans in the country. As I said before, if his recent appointments were exceedingly qualified (than available Black talent), it wouldn’t be as much ground for complaint. Furthermore and more, he was elected in part or perhaps primarily because of fears of gentrification from residents east of the Anacostia, so why is he practicing political gentrification? What message is he sending to young Black professionals and for that matter corporate America? Hell, if Black folks aren’t even willing to hire Black folks what chance to do they have in larger America?

    This is my point. Within 45 minutes of Washington, you can find a qualified Black in ANY SUBJECT MATTER YOU WANT. They are there. This isn’t Idaho, and Amen to you asking about Black folk willing to hire Black folk.

    PS-I read those pages of comments and rolled my eyes.

  25. Denise

    I’m all for ethnic, gender, and intellectual diversity which is why I supported Mayor Fenty’s police chief and school chancellor choices. I think folks in underrepresented groups should use their opportunities to open doors for others including, but certainly not limited to, their own. As a leader – especially an elected representative -it’s simply the right thing to do.

    That said, I hope what’s going on here is about staff diversity and not Mayor Fenty’s own personal insecurities. God forbid, the old “white folk ice is colder” syndrome. I’ve seen more then enough of that on the black political landscape.

    Honestly, I’m actually more interested in knowing who is filing the ranks of the cabinet deputies. It’s at this level that the next class of leaders are trained and recruited.

  26. Denise

    thanks, Rikyrah! I had a blast.

    I had absolutely wonderful accommodations, but next time, if I ain’t at The Wynn, I ain’t going.

    That joint is LIKE that😆

  27. Denise,

    My niece says the same thing. She stayed at The Wynn and said that it is ‘all that’.

    I thought the Bellagio was ‘ all that’.

  28. From Mickey Kaus at Slate.com:

    L.A. Latino Dems vs. L.A. Black Dems in an off-year special Congressional election. Is this the year a Latino wins in Compton? The Congressional Black Caucus can make its future even grimmer if the Grand Bargain gets to the House. … 11:07 P.M.

    He speaks the truth.

    http://www.slate.com/id/2168675/nav/fix/

  29. Denise

    Back to Mayor Fenty…

    I’m keeping a close watch on his overtures to the (white) gay community. If he can ingratiate himself with this group, he’ll gain substantial political and economic cover for anything he does or doesn’t do for the black community.

    Just watch. To be continued…

  30. Denise

    Rikyrah:

    re the “Hillaryland” piece in yesterday’s WaPo.

    I’m not mad at her for flaunting the female presence on her team. Not mad AT ALL.

    The story, and the photo, appeared on the top section of the front page.

  31. NMP

    “I think folks in underrepresented groups should use their opportunities to open doors for others including, but certainly not limited to, their own. As a leader – especially an elected representative -it’s simply the right thing to do. ”

    Welcome Back, Denise!

    I’m having a hard time understanding the above. You’re saying that African Americans should exhaust already limited opportunities by creating opportunities for other folks, namely less qualified White women and Asians? Call me skeptical, but I have a hard time believing that anyone on this board would be that generous in spirit if they were passed over by a less qualified White person or Asian, especially under the guise of promoting diversity. Black professionals are still struggling to combat the perception that we are only as good as the next Black professional, but not good in general. And Fenty’s moves only re-enforce that illogic. When poor White and Latino communities with failing school systems and city/county governments–and yes there are plenty– start championing “diversity” to solve their problems, maybe I’ll change my mind.

  32. Denise

    I never said we should get passed over in favor of less qualified people.

    I stand by what I said and respect your right to disagree.

  33. Heber,

    I have yet to see anyone come forward with administrative experience that has a comprehensive plan for all that ails the city. The Mayor has picked a solid administrative team to lead the city and she has focused on the crime issue without the “broken windows” B.S. police policies favored by Giuliani et al. After 4 years leading the city, I’ll make a re-assessment of her leadership. She deserves a chance to lead.

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