Hat Tip: Rasmussen Reports
Barack Obama, fresh from his victory in Iowa, now holds a ten point lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race found Obama with 37% of the vote while Clinton earns 27%. John Edwards is the only other candidate in double digits, with 19% support. Bill Richardson is the choice for 8%.
In New Hampshire, Obama leads Clinton by five points among Democrats and by sixteen points among Independents. The survey indicates that 40% of the voters will be Independents.
Eighty percent (80%) of Obama voters say they are certain they will vote for him. Seventy-three percent (73%) of Clinton voters say the same along with 64% of Edwards supporters.
Eighty-five percent (85%) of Likely Primary Voters have a favorable opinion of Obama. Seventy-eight percent (78%) say the same about Edwards and 69% offer a positive assessment of Clinton.
Just 48% of Obama supporters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Fifty-one percent (51%) have the opposite opinion including 22% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of the former First Lady. At the same time, 75% of Clinton supporters have a favorable opinion of Obama.
Among Edwards voters, 79% have a favorable opinion of Obama and 73% say the same about Clinton.
Obama is seen as the most electable Democratic candidate. Eighty-seven percent (87%) believe he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Clinton and 75% think Edwards would have a chance. Fifty-one percent (51%) of the Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe Obama would be Very Likely to win. Just 38% have such confidence in Clinton.
Also in today’s news is Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle’s endorsement of Obama and the endorsement of former Virginia Governor L. Douglas Wilder, the first black elected Governor, of Obama. Wilder, now the mayor of Richmond, VA, was a former 1992 Presidential candidate against Bill Clinton.
In a sweet irony, Wilder’s presidential ambitions were ended by skittish Yankees in New Hampshire skeptical of the notion of a black president. Clarence Page has written, “When Doug Wilder tested the New Hampshire presidential primary waters in 1992, three years after he became Virginia’s first elected black governor, a white New Hampshire focus group liked him until they found out he was black, according to Wilder’s pollster. They had no personal objection to his race, they said, but they doubted that he would go over with the rest of the state’s voters.”
Today’s polls and overflow crowds appear to indicate that most of New Hampshire has gotten over that particular racial hang-up.