Obama closes in on Hillary in polls

Standard

Hat Tip:  Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire
Alabama

Arizona

California

Delaware

Georgia

Illinois

Missouri

New Jersey

New York

Oklahoma

In no poll that I have read the crosstabs of, save New York, has Obama failed to get 70% of African American respondents. It is very interesting to read the fine print. From what I can tell today, this race will go all the way to the convention. Overall, Obama’s reach across the country is breathtaking. Two months ago, most blackfolks didn’t think this was possible. One month ago, his polls were nowhere close to where he is today. The Clinton racial polarization strategy has backfired royally.

Y’all got any predictions for tomorrow?

29 thoughts on “Obama closes in on Hillary in polls

  1. Well I got the Super Bowl right.🙂 So I already made some money but as for Super Tuesday, the big states of New York and California give the edge to Hillary but Obama takes it down south and fights to a draw in the border states. At the end of the day it’s still a contest, so watch out anything can happen. My Jints were still trailing at the start of the 4th quarter so y’all gotta be thinking long haul here.😀

  2. I have a prediction: this political junkie is gonna be up all night long tomorrow.🙂

    In one of the coastal states, he’s going to upset her. I don’t know which one, but I feel he’s going to do it.

    Come February 6th, he’ll still be in it, and the rest of the month will do well for him, IMO. He’ll be able to play HIS game of politics, HIS way.

  3. Denise

    My prediction is we’ll see a lot of racially polarized voting (duh!) and record voter turn-out nationwide.

    I think Hillary will carry California, Massachusetts, and New York.

  4. You know, this is like storming the Bastille…LOL

    The battering ram is at hand. We just have to keep on pounding away at the door. It’s gonna fall sooner or later🙂

  5. Rick

    New York
    Clinton 54, Obama 38 (Marist College)
    ——————————————————

    Ernesto, I got the Super Bowl right too buddy🙂 GO NEW YORK GIANTS!!!

    Anyone wanna take the over/under in New York?

    I’ll publicly declare “under” — that is, the final spread will be under 16 percentage points, irrespective of winner.

    That Marist Poll doesn’t reflect the rage up in harlem, or the barber shop talk this weekend over in brooklyn, where talk of Obama’s potential presidency dominated conversation about the Super Bowl (i.e, sports).

    It doesn’t capture the excitement and the engagement of little boys who we’ve ridden off holding signs in downtown brooklyn saying “I support Barack Obama.” Of course this little folks are too young to be counted, be they are getting that excitement from somewhere.

    This is why we must not — regardless of how we feel about Obama as a candidate — be so cynical as to miss the positive impact that this campaign is having on our black youth, particularly as it has helped to provide an alternative to a negative black male image that is so insidiously distributed and internalized within the black community.

    This is why some of us celebrate, and why we MUST celebrate. Because it means for the future, there is Hope. Just like Jesse Jackson kindled our imaginations in 1988 and had an affect on us when many of us were just toddlers, so is Obama having an even more enormous effect on our youth now. This is why I celebrate. I smile everyday for the positive effect Obama has had / and is having on our community.

  6. Denise

    “This is why we must not — regardless of how we feel about Obama as a candidate — be so cynical as to miss the positive impact that this campaign is having on our black youth, particularly as it has helped to provide an alternative to a negative black male image that is so insidiously distributed and internalized within the black community…”

    I absolutely co-sign, Rick.

  7. It doesn’t capture the excitement and the engagement of little boys who we’ve ridden off holding signs in downtown brooklyn saying “I support Barack Obama.” Of course this little folks are too young to be counted, be they are getting that excitement from somewhere.

    This is why we must not — regardless of how we feel about Obama as a candidate — be so cynical as to miss the positive impact that this campaign is having on our black youth, particularly as it has helped to provide an alternative to a negative black male image that is so insidiously distributed and internalized within the black community.

    I can’t agree with this more. All along this campaign, I am collecting snapshots along the way. Stories that make me weep.

    It was the young brother from California I met at Camp Obama, who paid his own way to Chicago, because he believed, and he was one of the last ones standing of his peer group, and Obama gave him hope – belief.

    In Iowa, it was the story of unprecedented Black participation in the Iowa Caucus. I remember one story particularly talking about seeing a group of young Black men who had never participated.

    In South Carolina, it was the combination of that young man, standing in front of the American flag, this being his first time voting.

    In South Carolina, it was the story from Jack and Jill, about the young boy, in the countryside of South Carolina, in the tree out front of his house saying, ” I’m Barack Obama and I approve of this message’.

    It was the picture of the older Black gentlemen, dressed in their suits, at Obama’s victory rally.

  8. Rick

    @ Rikyrah, you might consider a documentary when you are done🙂 I know I’d pay to see it and support ya!

    @ Rikyrah/Denise, I’ll never forget the pride you both demonstrated when Michelle Obama stepped on to the national scene last year. Most of all, I remember a comment rikyrah made about there being lots of “Michelle’s” out there in the black community…and with that statement, I could not agree more.

    Well, I also say, proudly, that there are lots of “Obamas” out there too, doing there thing as well. They are rarely recognized, so it’s nice to see someone like an Obama shed light on this other side of black life, aside of what usually makes the evening news, or BET.

    Recent movies like “Pursuit of Happiness”; Tyler Perry’s “Why Did I Get Married?” and more recently, “The Great Debaters” have also uplifted our collective images. They’ve all done very well, suggesting not just our people, but America hungers for inspirational leadership…

  9. Denise

    Rick:

    I like Mrs. Obama’s public persona, and I think she’s a great asset to her husband, but I had to see (thanks, YouTube) her speak first.

    Also, everybody sees the richness and diversity of our community…even when it kills ’em.

  10. Zeitgeist9000

    I think in a matter of time some of you will be wondering how Hillary could cry not once but twice on the national stage and still win the nomination!

  11. I went to the California rally with Oprah and it was *electric.* However, the BEST part about it was the media play it received. Be advised also that Barack is making a big push out here in Los Angeles on Spanish-language media. He is chipping away Latino support from Hillary.

  12. hey, has anyone thought about what we’re gonna do when…et ehm…WHEN Obama wins the nomination? like i see all of the hope and dreams he’s been able to evoke in us all. but i wanted to know what folks thought about the possibility of people looking at him to singlehandedly solve the nation’s (and furthermore the Black community’s ills). im only asking this because i realize that with him being a Black candidate, naturally we’d expect him to be all about ‘Black issues’ and take the community’s collective stance. but…well he doesnt strike me as being that kind of candidate. indeed, he kinda downplayed his race towards the beginning, which garnered heavy criticism from the community.

    any thoughts?

  13. Zeitgeist9000

    Um, yeah.

    The best way–the only way–for a black candidate to enter the Presidency is through the Vice Presidency….

  14. Marla K.

    Storme, you pose an important question. Those who have followed his candidacy closely realize the main theme of his campaign has been that he will unite everyone across political parties, reaching out to not only democrats but republicans and independents as well; also across race, gender, sexual orientation and religion. As he has pointed out most people want the same things:a job that pays the cost of living, affordable healthcare, a good education for our children, safety and security, and to ultimately retire with some dignity. I think most African Americans would b happy with these as his goals for everyone including us.

    I think we should all read his book: ‘The Audacity of Hope’. I’m reading it now. I understand his first book was also very revealing about who he is and what he is thinking. The name is ‘Dreams from my Father’.

    I know one thing for certain, we will be a very proud people!!

  15. maryblu

    I had to stop by and visit again! If ya’ll don’t remember from my last visit, I’m a 58 yr. young white ( ugh I hate having to distinguish myself by race) grandmother from NYS. Hillary did NOT do any where as well as she thought she would here! I am an Independent who was out canvassing for Obama in a predominately hard core Republican town in upstate NY. I met some great people. Amoung them were 16 senior citizens who could not drive that wanted desperately to vote for Obama. I made a few trips yesterday and drove them all to the polls. This is why he is going to win!! It’s all of us working together.

    Marla mentioned reading “Audacity of Hope” Let me just say that I read that book when it was first published and cried at times. He has such wisdom and insight to this world. Back when I first read the book I said to my spouse, “This man is going to be our next pressident!” He laughed at me, (nothing new hehehee) This was long before many ever heard of Barak. Then I went on to spread the word about Obama to friends and co-workers and even let others borrow my treasured book. Read the book if you can!

    We all still have much work ahead of us. Don’t ever give up hope! And please, don’t catagorize all “whites” damn we are all one in a muddled world! It’s up to us, you and me, all of us to set this world right for our children!

    Peace!

    ohh ya might like this post “Many faces of Hillary” at my site http://mindtravels.wordpress.com/

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